Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Youts For McCain?

Here is a pleasant surprise in the Death March of an election season.
Youts, er youths, are surprisingly supportive of presidential candidate. . .JOHN MCCAIN!
Shocking!
But true!
Our friends over at Powerline have this poll from IBD/TIPP and it breaks it down by region, area and age.
And, lo and behold!
Look at the 18-24 age bracket. Sen Messiah Barack Obama has the alligence of 43% of 18-24 year olds while Sen. "F--- You" McCain has the allegiance of 53% of 18-24 year olds. And only four percent of this group are undecided. These are the most committed of the age brackets. The least committed and the ones that those of us who support the McCain/Palin ticket need to work on is the middle-agers. The 45-64 age bracket in which 16% are undecided.
Now, one can poo-poo this poll all one wants, but many including the Architect, the EEEEEVVVVIIIIILLLL Karl Rove, said this was the most reliable public poll in the 2004 campaign. And, I have not seen numbers that discount that at all.
So, now we just have to make sure that if it is true, get these youts out on election day. Also the 65+ crowd. These are the two strongest demographics in Sen. "F--- You" McCain's corner.
Interesting, indeed!

5 comments:

Mark K. Sprengel said...

Hi Mark. Thanks for the comment. I added you as well. Interesting poll, I wouldn't have expected that age bracket. This election is going to be fascinating. Hopefully we will have the horrible task of trying to accept victory with grace when it's over ;)

Mark K. Sprengel said...

Hi Mark. Thanks for the comment. I added you as well. Interesting poll, I wouldn't have expected that age bracket. This election is going to be fascinating. Hopefully we will have the horrible task of trying to accept victory with grace when it's over ;)

Chuck said...

Good read. I've got to say that this is surprising. The conventional wisdom is that the youths are flocking to obama. Go figure, the media is wrong again.

Ray York said...

I am seeing the lawn signs going up in my neighborhood. It seems to be in McCain's favor. When we add the results of this poll, we need their vote to have a run away election. This is the only way to really win this election, otherwise the battle will go on for the next 4 years.

Rightwingsnarkle said...

Well, dude, before you get too excited, since the chumps at PL know less about polling than they do about law, you should listen to someone who knows a bit more about statistics, polling, etc.:

"About 9.3 percent of the electorate was between age 18-24 in 2004. Let's assume that the percentage is also 9.3 percent this year. Again, this is a highly conservative estimate. The IBD/TIPP poll has a sample size of 1,060 likely voters, which would imply that about 98 of those voters are in the 18-24 age range.

What are the odds, given the parameters above, that a random sampling of 98 voters aged 18-24would distribute themselves 74% to McCain and 22% to Obama?"

You should probably read his full take on this, especially his conclusion.

You might also want to read this if you're into polling, or not if you only want to think about polls that make you feel good.

I'm still betting that Mad Jack picks up less than 200 EV's.

Big storm soon come.