Today, voters in Nevada and South Carolina went to the polls and continued to put the Republican presidential nomination in different directions. But the spinmeisters will say that Sen. John "F--- You" McCain's win in South Carolina is a bigger deal than former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney's win in the Nevada caucus. The fact is both are a big deal and there is still no Republican presidential front runner. Period.
Here is a very important point. Mr. Romney took 51% of the Nevada caucus vote http://lvrj.com, a huge win by any one's objective calculation. Sen. "F--- You" McCain won only 33% of the South Carolina primary votes http://thestate.com.
Mr. Romney has been the candidate that has a proven record of bringing the three forces of modern American Republican conservatism together. The Michigan results showed that.
Sen. "F--- You" McCain was able to win in a state that has the largest concentration of soldiers and veterans. Those voters were able to offset an amazingly strong showing by the former Arkansas governor, the Rev. Mike Huckabee. The Rev. Mike, of course, took the lion's share of evangelical Christian voters. But, the Rev. Mike can not do too much better outside of that group. But, the Rev. Mike got a majority of votes from those who said that illegal immigration was their top issue.
And, because this primary/caucus season delegates matter, not necessarily wins, Mr. Romney still leads in Republican delegates. According to CNN http://cnn.com, Mr. Romney has 66 delegates compared to Sen. "F--- You" McCain with only 38%.
But, the win by Sen. "F--- You" McCain has the DDBMSM in a twitter in thought that a narrow win means he has this all but wrapped up. In fact, look for the gloves to come off and Sen. McCain to get a good beating at the hands of his opponents, and the Rev. Mike showed that he may lead the way, to be tag-teamed with Mr. Romney.
And, another thought is that Mr. Romney has shown he could win in three distinct areas of the nation. The rust-belt Midwest in Michigan. The Plains in Wyoming. And the bustling west in Nevada, which gave him the largest margin of victory.
Sen. "F--- You" McCain proved only that he could win in New Hampshire on the backs of independents and Democrats and in South Carolina on the backs of soldiers and veterans. And, they were not exactly blowout wins, one by five percent the latest by three percent.
The bad news is that former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson could do no better than a distant third in South Carolina and that nut bag congressman Ron Paul (R-TX) pulled into second place in Nevada.
But, both should go on.
All the big contenders need to go on and see what happens in Florida. If former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani has the win, he maybe the smartest man in the room by letting the others beat each other up in these early states. Even then, he will not suddenly become the Republican front runner.
That will not be decided, if then, on Super Duper Tuesday, February 5th.
My thought is that this is still on the road to be settled in St. Paul, Minnesota at the Republican National Convention.
Tonight was a good night for Mitt Romney and John "F--- You" McCain and shows one thing. They are the ones to beat with the Rev. Mike a close third for the Republican presidential nomination.
1 comment:
i say it will be decided before then 64, the convention. conservatives will find their man. whether he will have the same support bush had remains to be seen.
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