Sunday, December 04, 2011

So, Who Gains From Cain's Fall?

I am not surprised that Herman Cain has "suspended", re: ended, his presidential campaign.
Even though I do question a lot of these allegations against him. Of sexual harassment. Of carrying on a 13 year plus affair. At some point, if this is all that is being talked and written about, there is no other choice than to do what Mr. Cain did.
Now, the political question is who does this help in the GOP Death March to the presidential nomination?
I think that there are three options for the average Cain supporter.
The first one is to take a look at the Texas governor, Rick Perry.
Now, Mr. Perry is not anywhere on my radar screen. I still want to know why he is running for president. But a lot of people like his style, if you will. But he has proposed some serious ideas. One is the, for lack of better term, alternative flat-tax. It is a way that tax payers can choose either to pay their federal income taxes under the current regime or do it on a post card and a flat rate with little if any deductions. Again, it is a plan, much like the maligned 9-9-9 tax plan of Mr. Cain.
But it is easy to understand.
Again, I think Mr. Cain's supporters that go with Gov. Perry are looking at the closest to their candidate.
A second option is to look at Newt Gingrich.
Mr. Gingrich is about as close as these voters will look at any candidate seen as part of the "establishment" of the GOP.
Mr. Gingrich has been a statesmen of candidates. He has not had unkind words for the opponents that he is facing. That could be because he wants to get the GOP voters that were for someone else totally on board his candidacy. A good strategy. Of course he has also had a rather undisciplined approach to the campaign. Something Mr. Cain also had. So, he is another avenue to go for the Cainiacs.
The third option for these voters is the underdog former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum.
A lot of conservative Republicans like Mr. Santorum for his uncompromising stands, especially on social issues. Now, this may not be the bread-and-butter for many Caniacs, but it is the fact that Mr. Santorum will be a fighter. Much as they saw in Mr. Cain.
But I do not see these voters going to the former Massachusetts governor, Mitt Romney.
Mr. Romney, for better or worse, is seen as the very "establishment" the Caniac despises. I do not agree with that assessment. I see Mr. Romney preferable to former Utah governor, Jon Huntsman, Jr. Congressman Crazy Uncle Ron Paul. The Dear Leader himself, President Obama.
I am very sorry to see the Cain Train derail. I think the man has some great ideas. But it is the problem for someone who has never ran for office before. If any of the allegations are proven to be true, and he went on deny, deny, deny, that ruins a candidate more than anything. Except if it is not true but people come out of the woodwork and it is the endless distraction that it proved to be.
Mr. Cain, do not leave the political arena. The United States needs more people like you. Not unlike the former Alaska governor, Sarah Palin, you can be a voice for the people. You do not need to be an elected official for that.

No comments: