Tuesday, February 05, 2008

Some ThoughtsOn Super Duper Tuesday-And Not Good For The GOP

Here are some thoughts on the Super Duper Tuesday.
Firstly, despite all of our efforts on the Republican side Sen. John "F--- You" McCain will more than likely be the presidential nominee. But, neither Mitt Romney or Mike Huckabee will be his vice-presidential nominee. And, this is the worst aspect of tonight for the Republicans is that this division will hand the White House to the Democrats and more than likely that Democrat is going to be Sen. Barack Obama.
On the Democrat side, this was a better night for Sen. Hillary Clinton than expected. But, Barack Obama won more states in general and he is going on to the Democrat nomination. And, he will win the White House.
Yes, I know that a lot can happen in the nine months until election day, but if one takes a look at all the states that have voted up to and including today, the momentum and enthusiasm is on the other side. We Republicans are so divided that the only possiblity for unity, dare I write this, is for Sen. "F--- You" McCain to go back to the Reagan Library, dig up the Great Man and take him high and low to convince conservatives he is one of us. When a party is this divided this late in the primary election season and it is a three-way division, it just gives time for the other side to unify and whip up the enthusiasm.
Here are some really bad trends for the Republicans.
Sen. "F--- You" McCain did not even carry his home state with 50% of the vote or more. But, Mr. Romney only got 51% in his home state of Massachusetts. The Rev. Mike carried his home state with 62% of the vote. That was the largest win for the the Rev. Mike in the South. However, he is proving to be a strong regional candidate in general. Mr. Romney does best in the mountain and Plains states, not large ones.
Since no one is getting out on the Republican side, the train wreck continues.
Good news for the Democrats.
Sen. Clinton got 57% of the vote in her "home" state of New York. But, Sen. Obama won his real home state, Illinois, with 70% of the vote.
As noted, the Dems are just more excited and ready to storm the White House.
I guess at the end of the day, the Republican party is so divided, and it is a three-way division. Sen. "F--- You" McCain used the Mayor Rudy strategy, win in the big states. The Rev. Mike won in the South, and West Virginia. Mr. Romney won everywhere else.
There is a way that possibly, and this is a long shot, that Mr. Romney and the Rev. Mike team up to stop Sen. "F--- You" McCain. Because even if one looks at it that Sen. "F--- You" McCain and the Rev. Mike are tag-teaming against Mr. Romney, since the Rev. Mike actually did win more states than expected thus denying a clear-cut win for Sen. "F--- You" McCain, he may have won himself out of the vice-presidency.
Here is another thought and this is really painful, the Republicans will lose in November. Depending on how bad and if Mr. Romney can mend fences and work with the party the next four years, he may have an inside shot at the nomination in 2012.
Also, this shows that while Vice-President Cheney has been a great vice-president, this showed that it really is important to pick a vice-president that can not only succeed you, but possibly win as George H. W. Bush did in 1988 and unify the party very quickly.
It is going to be a long nine months and a really long four years with President Obama.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Certainly one way the debacle of November will be sped on its way is for folks to continue to use the all too tiresome "John 'F*** You' McCain" moniker.

C'mon. It's getting old.