Sunday, April 23, 2006

Why Congress Will Stay Republican

As much as Democrats and thier allies in the left-wing dominated mainstream media would like, the Democrats will not take congress this year unless there is something out there other than maybe Bush Fatigue.
The reason I have come to this conclusion is because, after reading Hugh Hewitt's book "Painting The Map Red", is because for the Democrats to not only take the House of Representatives and the senate is changing a lot of red, Republican states and that will not happen.
The Democrats need to win 16 seats to take the House and 6 to take the Senate.
It is possible that this could happen.
If gas prices keep going out of control and there is more American military deaths in Iraq, it is a possibility.
But, by election day gas prices will come down to under $3 dollars a gallon and there will be some troop withdrawal in Iraq. That will boost the president's numbers, but do not expect to get to the stratospheric numbers that Mr. Bush got in the days after 9/11. Those days are gone. But he will get close to the magic number of 50%.
This is a 50-50 nation but definitely trending Republican.
Have you seen a major Republican switching to the Democrats? No, but it is still happening every day that Democrats are switching to the Republican party.
The ideas are on the right, not the left.
The Democrats are going to have to find a group of candidates that can appeal to some of the red states and so far, the congressional recruitment
has not been that great.
Also, as noted in an earlier post, a candidate in a special election in solidly Republican San Diego county could not win outright and will not win come the election in June.
That is one thing, but the fact that the Democrats are basically counting
on bad news to win back congress shows they have no plan. They do not offer something that is not out of the class warfare playbook or the lets give in to the terrorist playbook.
In the end, despite this very bad series of polls and the general pessimism of America, things will change and that will help the Republicans in November.

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